According to news on January 6, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman published a question on Sunday evening A New Year's blog post for "Reflection" states that OpenAI already knows how to build general artificial intelligence and is gradually approaching general artificial intelligence. Prior to this, Ultraman had published a meaningful "six-word motto" on social media X: "near the singularity; unclear which side" - the singularity is approaching; I don't know where I am.

On January 3, another OpenAI researcher also tweeted, "I kind of miss the time when we didn't know how to create ASI (super artificial intelligence)."

Ultraman has expressed more confidence in the realization of AGI in his speeches in the past, but this is the first time that he has made it clear that he will find a path to AGI in such a firm manner.

In this blog, Altman also said, "We are fairly confident that within the next few years, everyone will see what we see."

So , the new meme in the AI ​​industry in 2025 may completely change from "What did Ilya see?" to "What did Sam see?"

I hope OpenAI can give us the answer in the form of a product this year.

The following is the full text of the article:

As the second anniversary of the birth of ChatGPT is approaching, I deeply feel the need to review the past development process and share some personal insights and experiences. Lessons learned.

As we inch closer to artificial general intelligence (AGI), this is an important time to look at the company's progress. Although we still have a lot to explore, many unknown challenges, and it’s still early stages of development, we know more than when we started.

We founded OpenAI nine years ago because we believed that general artificial intelligence was possible and that it could become the most impactful technology in human history. We are eager to explore how to build it and ensure that it benefits humanity broadly; we are eager to leave our mark on history. Our ambitions are high and we firmly believe this work could benefit society in equally extraordinary ways.

At that time, almost no one paid attention to us, and even if they did, most of them believed that our chances of success were slim.

In 2022, OpenAI was just an unknown research laboratory. At that time, we were working on a project temporarily called "Chat With GPT-3.5". (We're far less good at naming than we are at research.) We've been watching people use the playground feature of our API, and know that developers really enjoy working with models.conversational process. We thought building a demo project around this experience could show people some important information about the future and help us make the model better and safer.

In the end, we were lucky enough to name it ChatGPT and launch it on November 30, 2022.

We have always known that one day we would reach a tipping point and the AI ​​revolution would be launched. But we don’t know what that moment will look like. To our surprise, that moment turned out to be like this.

The launch of ChatGPT triggered an unprecedented growth curve in our company, our industry, and the entire world. We are finally seeing the vast potential that AI has always promised, and we can foresee even more developments to come.

This is not easy. The road is not easy, and the right choice is not always obvious.

Over the past two years, we have built an entire company around this new technology, almost from scratch. There is no other way to develop such talent than by doing it yourself, and when the technical field is completely new, no one can tell you exactly how to do it.

Building a company at such a rapid pace with so little experience is a chaotic process. It's often two steps forward and one step back (sometimes even one step forward and two steps back). Mistakes are corrected as you go along, but when it comes to original work, there are no manuals or signposts at all. Navigating at high speed through uncharted waters is an incredible experience, but it's also a huge stress for everyone involved. Conflicts and misunderstandings abound.

These years have been my most fulfilling, interesting, exciting, exhausting, and stressful years to date, and the last two years in particular have also been the most unpleasant. The strongest feeling I feel is gratitude; I know one day I will be retired on a ranch watching plants grow, maybe a little bored, but I will think back on how cool it is that I get to do the job I have dreamed of since I was a kid. I try to remember this every Friday before 13:00 when 7 things go wrong.

About a little over a year ago, on one particular Friday, the main thing that went wrong that day was that I was accidentally fired on a video call, and then as soon as we hung up, the board posted a Blog Post. I was in a hotel room in Las Vegas. The feeling is almost impossible to describe in words, like a sweet dream suddenly turned bad.

Being fired publicly and without warning set in motion a series of very crazy hours, and very crazy days. The "fog of war" is the weirdest part. None of us have been able to get satisfactory answers as to what happened and why.

The whole incident seems to me to be an example of governance failure by people of good intentions, myself included. Looking back on the past, I certainly wish I could have done better, and I also believeBelieve me, I am a better, more thoughtful leader today than I was a year ago.

I also deeply understand the importance of a board of directors with diverse perspectives and rich experience in dealing with a series of complex challenges. Good governance needs to be built on deep trust and solid credibility. I sincerely thank those who have worked together to build a stronger governance system for OpenAI, which allows us to stay true to our mission of ensuring that general artificial intelligence can benefit all mankind.

My biggest takeaway is the deep sense of gratitude I have and the debt of gratitude I owe to so many people: thank you to everyone working at OpenAI who chooses to invest their precious Time and energy to pursue this great dream together; thank you to the friends who lend a helping hand when we face crises; thank you to those who support us and trust us to help them succeed; thank you to everyone in my life who shows me care.

We are all returning to work more united and motivated, and I am incredibly proud of the focus and effort we have shown since then. We've done some of probably the best research ever. Our number of weekly active users has grown from approximately 100 million to over 300 million. Most importantly, we continue to bring technology to the world that people really love and that is solving real problems.

Nine years ago, we really had no idea what kind of existence we would eventually become; even now, we only have a rough idea. The development of artificial intelligence is full of twists and turns, and we expect there will be more changes in the future.

Some of these twists and turns bring joy; others bring challenges. It has been interesting to watch a series of research miracles unfold one after another, and many former skeptics become staunch supporters. We have also seen some colleagues leave and become competitors. As the company continues to expand, it is common for team members to change, and OpenAI is expanding very quickly. I think this is somewhat inevitable - startups typically experience a lot of turnover as they reach each new level of scale, and at OpenAI, that grew by orders of magnitude in a matter of months. The development speed in the past two years is equivalent to the development of an ordinary company in ten years. When any company grows and evolves at such a rapid pace, interests naturally diverge. And when a company leads in an important industry, many people will attack it for a variety of reasons, not least the need to compete.

Our vision will not change; our strategy will continue to evolve. For example, when we started, we had no idea that we needed to be a product company; we thought we were just going to do great research. We also did not anticipate that we would need such a large amount of funding. There are new things now that we could not have understood just a few years ago, and there will be new things in the future that we can barely imagine now.

We are proud of our research and deployment achievements to date, andCommitted to continuing to advance our thinking on security and benefit sharing. We continue to believe that the best way to ensure the safety of AI systems is by iteratively and gradually introducing AI systems into the world, giving society time to adapt and co-evolve with the technology, learn from experience, and continue to make the technology safer . We believe in the importance of being a world leader in safety and alignment research, and the importance of guiding that research with feedback from real-world applications.

We are now confident that we know how to build artificial general intelligence (AGI), as we traditionally understand it. We believe that in 2025, we may see the first artificial intelligence agents "join the workforce" and materially change company output. We continue to believe that putting great tools iteratively into people's hands will lead to great results that are widely distributed.

We are beginning to look further into the future, toward true superintelligence. We love our current product, but we're here for that glorious future. With superintelligence, we can do just about anything else. Superintelligent tools could dramatically accelerate scientific discovery and innovation far beyond what we are capable of on our own, and in turn greatly increase richness and prosperity.

This sounds like science fiction now, and even talking about it seems crazy. That’s okay, we’ve been through this phase before and we’d love to be in this position again. We're fairly confident that within the next few years, everyone will see what we see. And it is so important to act with great caution while maximizing broad benefits and empowerment. Given the possibilities of our work, OpenAI cannot be an ordinary company.

We feel extremely fortunate and humbled to be a part of this effort

(Thanks to Josh Tyrangiel, Chief Content Officer, Bloomberg Group and Bloomberg Businessweek 》Editor-in-Chief) inspired me to write this. I hope we can have more time to discuss it in depth)