According to CME's "Feder Observation": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 96.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.0%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 50.9%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 47.2%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 1.9%.