According to CME's "Feder Observation": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 91%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 9%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 50.8%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 45.3%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 4%.