Author: Haotian

Before the next wave of AI Agent, ordinary retail investors need to "reversal" Investment thinking, personal suggestions are for reference only:

1) Fomo pursues the "Speed ​​Transfer" project: the project can be launched by Speed ​​Transfer or the early stage Some conspiracy groups have seized the bargaining chips. In this case, Fomo's pursuit of the rise is likely to contribute short-term liquidity (rushing to the top of the mountain).

Even if the project has continued to be popular, there will be opportunities for the second and third stages in the future, it is not proportional to the mentality test faced by most people and the opportunity cost, and it is not as good as Wait for the next wave of early alpha opportunities, or find potential projects that have not yet been discovered by value;

2) Invest purely based on Dev qualifications, Github Repo, and project narrative: On-chain investment projects, without the "real money" investment of VC as endorsement, Dev's qualifications and Github warehouse level have become the largest reference benchmark, but don't forget that Dev qualifications, Github star labels, etc. are easily mixed with moisture, which is really valuable. If you wait until the market Fomo is over, it will be too late to get on the bus.

Adopted the previous lessons of the previous wave of major reshuffle, at least one project Build high threshold conditions should be added to these value evaluation factors. After all, the starting technology of value projects and The operating threshold must not be low; 3) The expected pricing valuation will be locked at $300 million to $500 million: You should know that the chance of finding Alpha on the chain is high because it is removed It is irrational to get the upstream exit pressure of VCs and early participants. If Fomo is on the rise, it is irrational to go up to projects with a total of more than 50m or even more than 100 million.

Unless you think there will be targets with 500 million benign value support on the short-term chain, or you are sure that this project has 3-5B space. Obviously, the short-term track on the AI ​​Agent chain is not mature at all. It is just an application scenario that is implemented, but it also needs to further improve the upper limit of commercial imagination. In short, don't bring the valuation standard of CEX coin selection at 500M-5B in the previous cycle to the chain;

4) Dividing positions and do not understand the position: the logic of dividing positions is to concentrate the chips on valuable supported currencies as much as possible, so that such a large plunge and retracement is confident to survive until the rebound. Time. If you have not studied it in your hands and have many asset targets for various PVPs, you are likely to suffer major losses due to excessive junk assets. The key is that you may lose confidence in the track and be persuaded to withdraw.

A proper position division and timely adjustment may not capture greater profits, but it can stabilize the opportunity to survive for a longer time;

5) Always "format" a certain currency: Now in the early stages of the development of the AI ​​Agent industry, the certainty is very weak, and there are many asset targets. Value assets will inevitably be mixed with a large number of assets that are just filling in the data. I accidentally caught a garbage asset. The diamond hand pattern lost not only the principal, but also other better opportunities in the entire track.

In the early stages of the track, it is definitely correct to use "scumbag thinking" in trading. Of course, you can constantly raise your aesthetics and establish your own core value currency position in the process. It's even better, after all, it's been a scumbag, and it's not easy to have PVP for a long time.