The crypto market has fluctuated extremely violently recently. Compared with the previous DeepSeek triggering a sharp drop in the market, and the next day it recovered and returned to the level before the decline, the momentum of this market rebound has gradually weakened Bitcoin continues to fall from the 100,000 US dollar mark, investors' confidence has begun to shake, and market sentiment is becoming increasingly sluggish. Is this the "last fall" or the "bear market beginning"? How should investors do it?

The storm behind market turmoil

Recalling the reason for the massive bloodbath of the global currency circle this time, the main reason is that Trump announced a 25% levy on imported products from Mexico and Canada The tariffs and 10% tariffs are imposed, and the relevant parties also vow to take retaliation. Markets are worried that the trade war will drag down the global economy and raise inflation, causing the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates again, and investors withdraw from risky assets, causing cryptocurrencies to plunge in a full-scale dive.

Alternative On the one hand, El Salvador, which has always been the most favorable Bitcoin, has a low profile canceling Bitcoin as a fiat currency as a condition for the International Monetary Fund to approve $1.4 billion in loans to El Salvador, and this negative has also exacerbated the decline. , triggering more selling pressure.

However, the market also ushered in a brief respite after the plunge. As the United States and Mexico reached a temporary agreement to suspend the imposition of tariffs, market concerns have been alleviated to a certain extent, pushing Bitcoin to quickly rebound to above $102,000. Just when the market believed that the market would continue to sprint, the situation took a sharp turn for the worse. Bitcoin once again fell below the $100,000 mark and continued to fluctuate and decline in the following days. The rebound momentum became smaller and smaller, and it could no longer reach $100,000, and overall hovered around the $97,000 price. Ethereum and altcoins are also far from the previous price.

The market is not afraid of bad news, but is afraid of uncertain news.

More than a week ago, DeepSeek brought great shock to the global market, causing the market to suffer a heavy blow. After the plunge, it rebounded rapidly. The resilience showed that the market was bullish and the market was even looking forward to the Spring Festival market that had been fulfilled for many years. However, this decline, Bitcoin failed to recover its decline and market confidence was extremely weak.

The fundamental reason behind this is that the capital market is often not afraid of certain bad news, but is even more afraid of uncertain news. DeepSeek hit the market critically, subsequent anti-revolutionTurning is more like even bad news, predictable bad news. The incident has occurred, and although it has had an adverse impact on the valuation of technology giants, it can be predicted and evaluated. On the other hand, this can allow many companies to use less computing power to train models, which will help promote and develop AI in the long run.

The current market conditions, whether it is cryptocurrency regulation or Bitcoin reserves, They are still in the discussion period of the underlying framework and will not move too quickly. The core of the short term is one influencing factor - Trump's tariffs, whether the existing chaotic confrontation is intensified, new confrontations are increasing, or whether it releases various reconciliation signals. This is a very uncertain state. The impact of different tariff results on the US economy is still unknown, which makes the Fed's subsequent actions unpredictable.

In addition, from a technical perspective, after Bitcoin hit a record high of $109,000, it has tried to break through nearby prices many times but failed, and the short-term pullback risk Significantly increased. Just as Bitcoin quickly fell back last year after rebounding around $70,000 from late July to early August, the failure to hit a certain high often indicates that greater downward pressure may occur in the future market.

Control positions and cash is king, and look for certainty in uncertainty

In the long run, it is not necessary We are still in a bull market - institutions are still buying coins, and Trump's crypto-friendliness and Bitcoin reserves have also made substantial progress, while technically, multiple BTC escape indicators have not appeared. However, in the short term, risk factors have accumulated rapidly and the market has become more fragile. Any subsequent turmoil may trigger market fluctuations that exceed expectations, and the market becomes increasingly difficult to operate.

In this case, risk management and asset allocation are particularly important. In the short term, controlling positions, setting a stop loss strategy, or directly choosing cash as king are effective means to avoid risks. Specifically for ordinary investors, the situation is unclear. It is better to avoid the edge of the situation than to operate blindly. Cash is the best choice.

At the same time, you might as well consider turning your attention to more robust products and finding certainty in uncertainty. For example, 4E Financial Management provides financial products with an annualized yield of up to 5.5% of USDT, and can be matched at any time on a regular basis. The funds are not idle, and they can wait for market changes and invest flexibly.

Of course, diversified asset allocation can help resist the volatility risks of a single market, especially choosing high-quality value assets as long-term investment targets, which can be seen in situations where market uncertainty is high Provide a certain margin of safety. As the official partner of the Argentina team, 4E also supports U-standard one-stop trading, providing more stable growth opportunities. Trump's tariffs and corresponding reactions dominate the current market trend, and regardless of the outcome, the market will eventually seek a new balance point. Stay calm, be mentally prepared, not be swayed by short-term market fluctuations, and look at market changes from a long-term investment perspective.