According to news on December 11, according to prediction market Polymarket data, Trump’s probability of being selected as Time’s 2024 Person of the Year has risen to 80%, with Musk ranking second with a probability of 9%. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and U.S. Vice President Harris ranked third and fourth with probabilities of 7% and 2% respectively. The prediction market has a total trading volume of $428,000 and will end on December 31, 2024.