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4E: Expectations for interest rate cuts have been significantly reduced, the three major U.S. stock indexes have fallen for two weeks in a row, and risk aversion in the crypto market has increased.
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2025-01-13 12:01 7,862
According to news on January 13, according to 4E Monitoring, the latest economic data shows that the U.S. job market is much stronger than expected, and the inflation trend is showing signs of rising. Trump’s tariffs and immigration policies are exacerbating concerns about inflation. The market generally expects that the Federal Reserve will suspend interest rate cuts at its interest rate meeting at the end of this month and significantly postpone the time and probability of interest rate cuts this year. According to 4E monitoring, all three major U.S. stock indexes fell for the second consecutive week last week. The S&P 500 fell by 1.94%, almost erasing the gains after the U.S. election. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.86% for the week, and the Nasdaq fell by 2.34%. Among large technology stocks, only Google A rose slightly last week, with Nvidia and Tesla leading the decline, falling 5.93% and 3.83% respectively. The crypto market fluctuated downwards. Bitcoin fell continuously after briefly returning to $100,000 on Tuesday, and once reached $91,200 following the news that the U.S. Department of Justice was allowed to sell $6.5 billion in seized Bitcoins, the highest level since December 5 last year. New lows, market fear intensified, and risk aversion increased. Bitcoin is currently oscillating above $94,000, down nearly 5% in a week. Although the recently popular narrative AI agent concept coins have generally undergone major adjustments, with the blessing of Huang Renxun's shouting at CES that AI agents are the future, the track is still receiving great attention, and DeFAI, investment in DAO, etc. have become new hot spots. In terms of foreign exchange commodities, expectations for the Federal Reserve to suspend interest rate cuts have increased, and the U.S. dollar index has risen to the 110 mark on non-agricultural day, setting a new high in two years, with a cumulative increase of 0.63% last week. The United States has imposed new sanctions on the Russian oil industry, and investors are worried about supply disruptions. Oil prices rose nearly 5% on Friday. U.S. oil rose more than 3.5% for the whole week, and Brent oil rose more than 4%; uncertainty about Trump's policies boosted Due to safe-haven demand, gold maintained its upward momentum, rising 1.9% for the week. The minutes of the December meeting showed that the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has intensified, and U.S. employment data that far exceeded expectations also strengthened expectations for a cautious interest rate cut. The market has significantly postponed the time and probability of interest rate cuts this year, and is increasingly worried that the interest rate cut cycle has ended, and the next step to adjust interest rates is more likely to be to raise interest rates. The market is full of uncertainty, and risk assets are collectively under pressure. eeee.com is a financial trading platform that supports cryptocurrencies, stock indexes, bulk gold, foreign exchange and other assets. It recently launched a USDT stablecoin financial product with an annualized return of 5.5%, providing investors with potential hedging options. 4E reminds you to pay attention to market fluctuation risks and allocate assets reasonably.
Keywords: Bitcoin
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