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Economist: U.S. unemployment rate could reach 4.4% or higher by the end of 2025
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2024-12-27 21:02 5,711
Golden Finance reported that economists at Pedenreiger Asset Management said in a report on the economic outlook that as inflation declines and unemployment rises, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts in 2025 may exceed market expectations. . The Fed's preferred core inflation measure could fall below 2% at some point in 2025, and the U.S. unemployment rate could reach 4.4% or higher by the end of 2025, they said. They also said the Fed could "easily" cut interest rates by more than the 35 basis points cut currently expected by U.S. money markets in 2025. The optimal level for the federal funds rate will be 3.3%, which would mean at least four rate cuts in 2025.
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