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Golden Morning News |BTC fell below $82,000 Bitcoin is experiencing a "shaking position" rather than the end of a four-year cycle
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▌BTC fell below $82,000

The market shows that BTC fell below $82,000 and is now at $81,998.01, with a 24-hour decline of 2.81%. The market fluctuates greatly, please do a good job in risk control.

▌Bitcoin is experiencing a "shaking position" rather than the end of a four-year cycle

Bitcoin's current price is down 22% from the all-time high of $109,000 set by Trump's inauguration date on January 20. Although investor sentiment has fallen into the "extremely fear" area many times, crypto analysts generally believe that the Bitcoin bull market cycle has not yet ended, and this decline may be a "shaking position" - that is, a sharp drop caused by concentrated closing of long positions, followed by a rapid rebound. Bitfinex analysts pointed out, "A number of key technical indicators turn bear, triggering speculation about the bull market ending early. But the four-year cycle of Bitcoin is still a key factor, and history shows that the pullback in the bull market is normal, and this is more likely to be a shock than a bear market start. The bottom of Bitcoin may form in parallel with US stocks (especially the S&P 500), with US$72,000 to US$73,000 still being the key support range, but global Treasury yields and stock market trends will dominate Bitcoin's next trend. The risks of the trade war have been partially priced, but long-term economic pressure may suppress sentiment." Nexo analyst Iliya Kalchev said, "Although Bitcoin's four-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) has dropped to an all-time low of 8%, the halving event is still crucial to the long-term price trend, 2024 4 The monthly halving cuts block rewards to 3.125 BTC, and Bitcoin has accumulated more than 31% since then. Despite the ETFs brought by institutional adoption over the past year Buying has become the main push, but the halving effect will continue to affect the market. "


Trump

As of press time, according to Coingecko data, BTC's latest transaction price is US$82,434.68, with an intraday rise and fall -2.1%;

ETH's latest transaction price is US$1,884.11, with an intraday rise and fall -2.8%;

BNB's latest transaction price is US$599.88, with an intraday rise and fall -2.8%;

SOL's latest transaction price is US$126.03, with an intraday rise and fall -7.1%;

DOGE's latest transaction price is US$0.168, with an intraday rise and fall -4.6%;

XPR's latest transaction price is US$2.30, with an intraday rise and fall -1.6%.


▌Pakistan establishes a cryptocurrency committee to regulate blockchain and digital assets

Pakistan established the Pakistan Cryptocurrency Committee (PCC) to oversee the integration and use of blockchain technology and digital assets in the country's financial field. The PCC’s agenda includes developing clear regulatory guidelines for cryptocurrency adoption, working with international cryptocurrency and blockchain organizations, and promoting responsible innovation. The committee will also pass a soundLegal and compliance frameworks focus on consumer protection and financial security. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb will chair the committee, leading a diversified committee that includes senior officials from major financial and regulatory agencies. The leadership is composed of the President of the Bank of Pakistan, the Chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP), and the Minister of Federal Law and Information Technology, aims to ensure a comprehensive approach to regulatory oversight, financial stability and technological advancement. Pakistan is currently one of the highest adoption rates of cryptocurrency, with an estimated 20 million active cryptocurrency users and a cryptocurrency transaction volume of over US$20 billion.


Blockchain application

▌Lighthouse 7.0 light client stable version is about to be released

Ethereum 2.0 client Lighthouse development team Sigma Prime announced that Lighthouse is enabling default light client support, making trust-minimizing wallets more feasible than before. With this launch, the share of beacon nodes that provide light client data is expected to increase from 5% to 30-40%. The currently provided Lighthouse v7.0.0-beta.3 for Holesky has been fixed to cause node stuck (only Holesky node upgrades are recommended), and Lighthouse 7.0 light client stable version is about to be released.


Cryptocurrency

▌Crypto wallets will integrate agents within a few years

Ethereum developer eric.eth said that the common wallet user experience today will completely disappear in just a few years. Users will no longer need to click on "Connection" and "Signature". Users need to talk to agents, and the agents do all the work on the chain for them.

▌The California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation has announced 24 types of cryptocurrency fraud, reminding the community to be alert

The California Department of Financial Protection and Innovation (DFPI) has announced 24 types of cryptocurrency fraud, reminding the community to be alert, mainly including: prepaid fraud, affinity fraud, asset recovery scam, bait scam, Bitcoin mining scam, crypto ransomware scam, crypto game scam, crypto job search scam, impostor scam, high-yield investment plan, investment group scam, liquidity mining/liquidity mining scam, pig killing scam, crypto giveaway/airdrop scam, ransomware, etc.

▌North Korean hackers used mixed coins to purchase 437.6 billion PEPEs worth US$3.1 million on March 11

According to a link detective ZachXBT posted on his personal channel, a highly credible Tornado Cash asset theft investigation shows that on March 11, 2025, after using Tornado Cash to complete mixed coins, North Korean hackers used part of ETH funds to purchase 437.6 billion PEPEs worth 310Ten thousand dollars. More detailed analysis shows that North Korean hackers were stolen when using the problematic Tornado Cash user interface. Previous news, according to Lookonchain monitoring, three wallets bought 689.79B PEPE (total value of approximately US$4.3 million), and their funds were all from Tornado Cash.

▌U.S. support for crypto assets and non-bank finance has laid the root of future turmoil

Francois Villeroy de Galhau, member of the European Central Bank's governance committee, said that US support for cryptocurrencies and non-bank finance may trigger the next financial emergency. "There is a possibility that the United States will commit crimes due to negligence. Financial crises often originate in the United States and spread to other parts of the world. By encouraging crypto assets and non-bank finance, the United States is sowing the seeds of future turmoil." Galhau added that regulation in Europe is more secure and said that the EU does not have the risk of a banking crisis.

▌Meme coins are becoming a "retail investor exploitation tool", violating the spirit of crypto decentralization

Anastasija Plotnikova, co-founder and CEO of blockchain regulatory company Fideum, said that Meme coins are violating the basic spirit of crypto decentralization. In more and more Rug Pulls behaviors, they are increasingly used to exploit retail investors. She added: "Meme coins have evolved from community-driven social experiments to chaotic situations dominated by retail investors' extraction of value internal circles, stock price gouging and sniper teams have replaced the organicity and collectivity of the original Meme coins community, creating an unhealthy competitive environment." Anastasija Plotnikova believes that some behaviors are already obviously illegal and fall into the jurisdiction of law enforcement agencies, and support enforcement of some projects.


Important economic trends

▌The probability of a rate cut in March is only 2% after the Fed's interest rate decision 3 days left.

According to CME's "Feder Observation" data, the probability of a rate decision being announced at 2 a.m. Beijing time on March 20 is 2%, and the probability of a rate cut in March is 98%. The probability of the Fed's cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points by May is 0.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 27.7%, and the probability of remaining unchanged is 71.8%.

▌The US Treasury Secretary cannot guarantee that the US economy will not decline

The US Trump has introduced a series of tariffs, and has changed many times, resulting in a decline in business and consumer confidence. Recently, various US economic data have frequently shown a "red light", and concerns about Trump's recession have become increasingly prominent. March 1On the 6th, US Treasury Secretary Bescent said in an interview that "there is no guarantee that the US economy will not fall into recession." However, he repeatedly emphasized that the United States is adopting "stable and lasting" and that the US economy will undergo "adjustment" and "experience a transition period, but there will be no financial crisis."


Golden Encyclopedia

▌What is a cold wallet?

Cold wallet is a cryptocurrency storage method that stays offline and disconnects from the internet. This setup makes it more difficult for hackers to access funds remotely. Examples include: hardware wallets (such as Ledger, Trezor), paper wallets, isolated computers (devices that have never been connected to the internet).

Disclaimer: As a blockchain information platform, the content of the articles published by Golden Finance is for information reference only and is not used as actual investment advice. Please establish the correct investment philosophy and be sure to improve your risk awareness.

Keywords: Bitcoin
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