According to CME's "Feder Observation": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 98.0%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 2.0%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 82.1%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 17.6%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.3%.