According to CME's "Federal Observation": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 4.5%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged by May is 73.9%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 25.1%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 1%.